Category : Search result: political forecasting


The Endemic Failure of Political Forecasting

From Venezuela to the Soviet collapse, experts consistently fail to predict major political shifts. Paul Ormerod examines the limits of forecasting for 2026. Read the analysis.

Guardian's 12 Most Powerful Cartoons of 2025

Explore The Guardian's selection of the year's most impactful political cartoons, featuring commentary from award-winning illustrator Ben Jennings on satire in a surreal news cycle. Discover the art that defined 2025.

AI Slashes A&E Wait Times in 50 NHS Organisations

Around 50 NHS organisations are using an AI forecasting tool to predict emergency department demand, aiming to reduce wait times and free up beds this winter. Discover how the technology works.

AI Tool Deployed to Reduce A&E Waiting Times in England

NHS hospitals in England are using an AI forecasting tool to predict A&E demand this winter, allowing for better staff and bed planning to reduce waiting times. Discover how technology is modernising emergency care.

Revisiting Millennium Cultural Predictions

Looking back at turn-of-the-millennium cultural predictions reveals how close yet far forecasts were about film, TV and music's future. Discover what they got right about digital revolution.

Barnaby Joyce's Political Circus Continues

Barnaby Joyce claims to dislike the political circus while simultaneously creating one. Analysis reveals his contradictory behaviour continues to dominate Australian politics.

OBR needs rule-based framework to stay independent

The Office for Budget Responsibility faces calls to implement transparent forecasting rules as it prepares to cut productivity growth estimates. Learn how this could protect fiscal credibility.

Australia Needs Political Shake-Up: Mamdani-Style Reform

As Australian politics faces mounting criticism over stagnation and disconnect, experts are calling for radical reform. Discover why a transformative 'Mamdani-style' overhaul might be exactly what Westminster-style democracy needs to reconnect with citize

Bob Katter's 50-year political portrait unveiled

After half a century in Australian politics, maverick MP Bob Katter is immortalised in a new official portrait, capturing the essence of one of parliament's most colourful characters.

Sky News Exposes Political Bias in X's Algorithm

An exclusive Sky News investigation reveals how X's algorithm systematically amplifies right-leaning political accounts while suppressing left-wing voices, raising serious questions about digital democracy.

Mamdani's New York Victory: Political Earthquake

In a stunning political upset that's sending shockwaves across the Atlantic, Mamdani secures a remarkable victory in New York. This comprehensive analysis delves into how this unexpected win challenges established political norms and what it means for int

Zohran Mamdani: Beating the Democratic Machine

Discover how New York state senator Zohran Mamdani's surprising victory over machine politics offers a blueprint for progressive change that's resonating across the Atlantic.

How fear is poisoning British politics

An alarming culture of intimidation is spreading through British politics, with public servants and MPs facing unprecedented threats that threaten the very foundations of our democracy.

Starmer knew of Mandelson-Epstein links before job offer

Exclusive: Civil servants confirm Prime Minister Keir Starmer received intelligence about Peter Mandelson's connections to Jeffrey Epstein before bringing him into government, raising serious questions about judgement and transparency.

Trump Threatens Military Intervention in Nigeria

Former US President Donald Trump's threat of military intervention in Nigeria sparks international concern. Explore the political motivations, regional consequences, and diplomatic fallout.

Farage's economic U-turn divides supporters

Nigel Farage faces backlash from traditional supporters as he dramatically shifts his economic stance towards big business and City interests, leaving Brexit loyalists questioning his political direction.

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